Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.189938 0.211677 0.234179 0.259156 0.286050 0.314082 0.345456
2025-01-05 0.160692 0.190282 0.222234 0.259123 0.300354 0.344840 0.396283
2025-01-12 0.138993 0.173658 0.212497 0.258858 0.312303 0.371598 0.441964
2025-01-19 0.121038 0.158987 0.202975 0.257081 0.321172 0.394014 0.482377
2025-01-26 0.108562 0.149276 0.197938 0.259401 0.333946 0.420426 0.527287
2025-02-02 0.100592 0.144117 0.197573 0.266667 0.352177 0.453116 0.579776
2025-02-09 0.090971 0.135879 0.192559 0.267509 0.362105 0.475641 0.620203
2025-02-16 0.084414 0.130967 0.191187 0.272442 0.376773 0.503805 0.667585
2025-02-23 0.079811 0.128207 0.192224 0.280175 0.394826 0.536188 0.720424
2025-03-02 0.072075 0.120437 0.186030 0.277964 0.399808 0.552091 0.752875
2025-03-09 0.066095 0.114640 0.182041 0.278265 0.407730 0.571533 0.789754
2025-03-16 0.060168 0.108415 0.177011 0.276754 0.412962 0.587370 0.822064
2025-03-23 0.056623 0.105646 0.176856 0.282113 0.427749 0.616191 0.871993
2025-03-30 0.052043 0.100893 0.173528 0.282798 0.436109 0.636679 0.911444
2025-04-06 0.047749 0.096221 0.169998 0.282928 0.443544 0.655923 0.949426
2025-04-13 0.043408 0.091087 0.165433 0.281266 0.448287 0.671502 0.982683
2025-04-20 0.040491 0.088091 0.163914 0.283882 0.458924 0.695003 1.026564
2025-04-27 0.038998 0.087428 0.165937 0.291726 0.477022 0.728763 1.084417
2025-05-04 0.036130 0.084069 0.163481 0.292673 0.485182 0.749025 1.124411
2025-05-11 0.034378 0.082590 0.163933 0.297971 0.499626 0.778012 1.176392
2025-05-18 0.033327 0.082325 0.166316 0.306246 0.518488 0.813290 1.237227
2025-05-25 0.030378 0.078170 0.162005 0.303894 0.521622 0.826681 1.268401
2025-06-01 0.028140 0.075196 0.159497 0.304221 0.528616 0.845454 1.307030